Magic vs Kings prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (12-44) host the Orlando Magic (28-25) on Thursday, February 19 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 131 – Kings 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 9-19 at home and the Magic are 10-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Kings and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Kings L14, Magic L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Magic, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 112 – 117 Magic, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-7.3 vs -0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLSAC
Top performers
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #530pts / gamePaolo BancheroF · #56assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #348reboundsKings
Maxime RaynaudC · #4217pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #106assistsMaxime RaynaudC · #4214reboundsRecent form
ORLSAC
ORL
Team comparison
| ORL | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-25 | Record | 12-44 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 111.1 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 119.7 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | L14 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 10-15 road | Home / road record | 9-19 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.