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Cavaliers vs Kings prediction NBA · Saturday, February 7

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN OH, NBC Sports CA
79% win CLEwin SAC 21%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin10.2
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (12-41) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (31-21) on Saturday, February 7 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 132 – Kings 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 9-18 at home and the Cavaliers are 14-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Kings and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Kings L11, Cavaliers W2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 111 – 121 Cavaliers, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.8 vs +4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -6.8 / CLE +4.1 per game
-10.9
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKings played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Kings
-10.2

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
5%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Cavaliers win by 10+
51%

Stat comparison Current season

CLESAC
119.9
Points scored / game
111.4
115.1
Points allowed / game
119.5
46.8 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
36.7 %
3-point %
30.0 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
79.3 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
41.5
26.3
Assists / game
22.8
8.8
Steals / game
6.8
7.5
Blocks / game
2.5
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4535pts / game
James HardenG · #18assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3110rebounds
Kings
Nique CliffordG · #1030pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #189assists
Dylan CardwellC · #3211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

CLESAC
31-21Record12-41
119.9Points scored / game111.4
115.1Points allowed / game119.5
+4.1Adjusted margin / game-6.8
W2Current streakL11
8-2Last 10 games0-10
14-10 roadHome / road record9-18 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.