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76ers vs Suns prediction NBA · Saturday, February 7

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
39% win PHIwin PHX 61%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin3.5
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (31-21) host the Philadelphia 76ers (29-22) on Saturday, February 7 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 109 – Suns 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 17-8 at home and the 76ers are 14-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Suns and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Suns L1, 76ers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Suns 116 – 113 76ers, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +1.1 / PHI -0.0 per game
+1.2
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+3.5

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIPHX
115.4
Points scored / game
113.8
115.4
Points allowed / game
112.4
42.8 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
32.6 %
3-point %
31.9 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
77.5 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
39.7
24.6
Assists / game
25.3
9.8
Steals / game
8.7
5.6
Blocks / game
5.3
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2133pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #06assists
Joel EmbiidC · #219rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #328pts / game
Devin BookerG · #159assists
Royce O'NealeF · #0011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHIPHX
29-22Record31-21
115.4Points scored / game113.8
115.4Points allowed / game112.4
-0.0Adjusted margin / game+1.1
L1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
14-9 roadHome / road record17-8 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.