Magic vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (39-11) host the Orlando Magic (25-23) on Tuesday, February 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 92 – Thunder 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 21-5 at home and the Magic are 10-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Thunder and 4-6 for the Magic (current streaks: Thunder W1, Magic L1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 120 – 107 Magic, a margin of about 13.0 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+10.5 vs -0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (120.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLOKC
Top performers
Magic
Jalen SuggsG · #420pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #46assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #347rebounds
Thunder
Isaiah JoeG · #1722pts / game
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5510assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #710reboundsRecent form
ORL
OKCTeam comparison
| ORL | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-23 | Record | 39-11 |
| 113.5 | Points scored / game | 120.3 |
| 113.6 | Points allowed / game | 107.9 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +10.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 10-14 road | Home / road record | 21-5 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
ORL