Pacers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Friday, January 23
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (37-8) host the Indiana Pacers (10-35) on Friday, January 23 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 117 – Thunder 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 94% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 20-3 at home and the Pacers are 2-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Thunder and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Thunder W2, Pacers L3).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 124 – 105 Pacers, a margin of about 18.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+11.4 vs -5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDOKC
Top performers
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #227pts / gameAndrew NembhardG · #211assists
Micah PotterC · #910reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #247pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #24assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #713reboundsRecent form
INDOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| IND | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-35 | Record | 37-8 |
| 111.5 | Points scored / game | 121.2 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 107.8 |
| -5.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.4 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 2-19 road | Home / road record | 20-3 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.