Jazz vs Spurs prediction NBA · Monday, January 19
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (29-14) host the Utah Jazz (14-28) on Monday, January 19 at 5:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 110 – Spurs 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 83% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 15-5 at home and the Jazz are 5-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Spurs W2, Jazz L3).
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 125 – 113 Jazz, a margin of about 12.2 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+2.6 vs -7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHSA
Top performers
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #330pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #17assists
Kevin LoveF · #4211reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #133pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #58assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #110reboundsRecent form
UTAHSA
UTAH
Team comparison
| UTAH | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-28 | Record | 29-14 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 116.9 |
| 126.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| -7.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 5-16 road | Home / road record | 15-5 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.