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Jazz vs Bulls prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 14

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
14-26 · away
Final score
126-128
Projected: 117-122
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
19-21 · home
34% win UTAHwin CHI 66%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin5.0
Projected total239
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (18-21) host the Utah Jazz (14-25) on Wednesday, January 14 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 126 – Bulls 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 11-9 at home and the Jazz are 5-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bulls and 4-6 for the Jazz (current streaks: Bulls L1, Jazz W1).

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 122 – 117 Jazz, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 239 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.6 vs -7.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' defense allows clearly fewer points (120.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -2.6 / UTAH -7.0 per game
+4.3
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Back-to-backBulls played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Bulls
+5.0

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Jazz win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHCHI
117.4
Points scored / game
117.3
125.6
Points allowed / game
120.5
45.4 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
33.9 %
3-point %
27.6 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
26.8
Assists / game
24.4
5.0
Steals / game
9.0
6.4
Blocks / game
4.8
17.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Jazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2843pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #37assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #27rebounds
Bulls
Nikola VucevicC · #935pts / game
Tre JonesG · #308assists
Jalen SmithF · #2510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHCHI
14-25Record18-21
117.4Points scored / game117.3
125.6Points allowed / game120.5
-7.0Adjusted margin / game-2.6
W1Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games4-6
5-13 roadHome / road record11-9 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.