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76ers vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, January 9

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
39% win PHIwin ORL 61%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin3.6
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (21-17) host the Philadelphia 76ers (20-15) on Friday, January 9 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 103 – Magic 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 12-6 at home and the 76ers are 10-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Magic W1, 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 116 – 113 76ers, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.8 / PHI -0.4 per game
+1.3
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+3.6

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIORL
115.6
Points scored / game
113.9
116.1
Points allowed / game
112.9
42.8 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
32.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
77.5 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
41.3
24.6
Assists / game
26.0
9.8
Steals / game
7.8
5.6
Blocks / game
4.5
12.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #029pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #777assists
Joel EmbiidC · #219rebounds
Magic
Desmond BaneG · #323pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #57assists
Paolo BancheroF · #511rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIORL
20-15Record21-17
115.6Points scored / game113.9
116.1Points allowed / game112.9
-0.4Adjusted margin / game+0.8
W1Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
10-6 roadHome / road record12-6 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.