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Knicks vs Pistons prediction NBA · Monday, January 5

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · Peacock
49% win NYwin DET 51%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin0.5
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (26-9) host the New York Knicks (24-12) on Monday, January 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 90 – Pistons 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 13-3 at home and the Knicks are 8-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 5-5 for the Knicks (current streaks: Pistons W1, Knicks L3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pistons 116 – 115 Knicks, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +4.2 / NY +4.5 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPistons played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Pistons
+0.5

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

NYDET
119.4
Points scored / game
117.9
114.1
Points allowed / game
113.0
42.2 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
35.9 %
3-point %
37.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
75.8 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.8
Assists / game
27.0
7.2
Steals / game
8.0
4.4
Blocks / game
7.2
14.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125pts / game
Kevin McCullar Jr.G · #93assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #410rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #213assists
Isaiah StewartC · #289rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYDET
24-12Record26-9
119.4Points scored / game117.9
114.1Points allowed / game113.0
+4.5Adjusted margin / game+4.2
L3Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
8-8 roadHome / road record13-3 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.