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Hornets vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, January 3

FinalUnited Center · CHSN+, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
38% win CHAwin CHI 62%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin3.9
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (17-17) host the Charlotte Hornets (11-23) on Saturday, January 3 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 112 – Bulls 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 10-8 at home and the Hornets are 4-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Bulls and 4-6 for the Hornets (current streaks: Bulls W2, Hornets L3).

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 119 – 115 Hornets, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Bulls and the Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -2.4 / CHA -4.0 per game
+1.6
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+3.9

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hornets win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

CHACHI
113.1
Points scored / game
118.6
117.8
Points allowed / game
121.4
41.7 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
30.6 %
3-point %
27.6 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
44.8
20.6
Assists / game
24.4
6.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.2
Blocks / game
4.8
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2226pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #17assists
Miles BridgesF · #2214rebounds
Bulls
Nikola VucevicC · #928pts / game
Nikola VucevicC · #98assists
Kevin HuerterG · #2711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHACHI
11-23Record17-17
113.1Points scored / game118.6
117.8Points allowed / game121.4
-4.0Adjusted margin / game-2.4
L3Current streakW2
4-6Last 10 games7-3
4-13 roadHome / road record10-8 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.