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Rockets vs Nets prediction NBA · Thursday, January 1

FinalBarclays Center · YES, Space City Home Network, DAZN (YES), NBA League Pass
75% win HOUwin BKN 25%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin8.3
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (10-20) host the Houston Rockets (20-10) on Thursday, January 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 120 – Nets 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 4-12 at home and the Rockets are 10-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Nets and 5-5 for the Rockets (current streaks: Nets L1, Rockets W3).

The analysis Model

The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 109 – 117 Rockets, a margin of about 8.3 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.3 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -4.3 / HOU +6.3 per game
-10.6
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-8.3

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
7%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Rockets win by 10+
45%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUBKN
118.8
Points scored / game
108.4
111.3
Points allowed / game
113.4
51.7 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
40.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
84.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
43.5
28.2
Assists / game
24.0
10.2
Steals / game
10.0
6.0
Blocks / game
4.0
15.8
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Rockets
Amen ThompsonG · #123pts / game
Kevin DurantF · #711assists
Tari EasonF · #179rebounds
Nets
Cam ThomasG · #2421pts / game
Day'Ron SharpeC · #207assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #98rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

HOU lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

HOUBKN
20-10Record10-20
118.8Points scored / game108.4
111.3Points allowed / game113.4
+6.3Adjusted margin / game-4.3
W3Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
10-8 roadHome / road record4-12 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.