Jazz vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Monday, December 22
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (20-7) host the Utah Jazz (10-17) on Monday, December 22 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 112 – Nuggets 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 8-5 at home and the Jazz are 3-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Nuggets and 5-5 for the Jazz (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Jazz L2).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Nuggets 128 – 113 Jazz, a margin of about 14.9 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 241 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHDEN
Top performers
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2327pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #89assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3014reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2727pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1513assistsNikola JokicC · #1513reboundsRecent form
UTAHDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 4-0 this season.
UTAH
Team comparison
| UTAH | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-17 | Record | 20-7 |
| 117.4 | Points scored / game | 123.5 |
| 125.1 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| -6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 3-8 road | Home / road record | 8-5 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.