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Bulls vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 19

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, CHSN, NBA League Pass
52% win CHIwin POR 48%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin0.5
Projected total236
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (6-8) host the Chicago Bulls (7-6) on Wednesday, November 19 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 122 – Trail Blazers 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 3-3 at home and the Bulls are 2-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 4-6 for the Bulls (current streaks: Trail Blazers L3, Bulls W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 118 – 119 Bulls, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.0 / CHI -0.7 per game
-1.2
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-0.5

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIPOR
119.8
Points scored / game
116.2
120.7
Points allowed / game
118.5
42.1 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
27.6 %
3-point %
38.9 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
78.6 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
46.3
24.4
Assists / game
30.7
9.0
Steals / game
8.3
4.8
Blocks / game
2.7
17.8
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Bulls
Nikola VucevicC · #927pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #313assists
Nikola VucevicC · #98rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #333pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #811assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2321rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHIPOR
7-6Record6-8
119.8Points scored / game116.2
120.7Points allowed / game118.5
-0.7Adjusted margin / game-2.0
W1Current streakL3
4-6Last 10 games4-6
2-5 roadHome / road record3-3 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.