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Wizards vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 19

FinalTarget Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN North
6% win WSHwin MIN 94%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin19.6
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (9-5) host the Washington Wizards (1-12) on Wednesday, November 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 109 – Timberwolves 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 94% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 4-3 at home and the Wizards are 1-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 0-10 for the Wizards (current streaks: Timberwolves W1, Wizards L11).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 126 – 107 Wizards, a margin of about 19.6 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.8 vs -12.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.8 / WSH -12.5 per game
+17.3
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+19.6

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
78%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
10%
Wizards win by 10+
1%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHMIN
110.6
Points scored / game
117.7
125.2
Points allowed / game
112.1
48.0 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
28.5 %
3-point %
38.4 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
83.1 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
51.6
25.8
Assists / game
27.0
7.4
Steals / game
9.2
5.6
Blocks / game
4.4
13.6
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1823pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #187assists
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #187rebounds
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3032pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assists
Rudy GobertC · #2715rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MIN lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

WSHMIN
1-12Record9-5
110.6Points scored / game117.7
125.2Points allowed / game112.1
-12.5Adjusted margin / game+4.8
L11Current streakW1
0-10Last 10 games7-3
1-6 roadHome / road record4-3 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.