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Spurs vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 16

FinalT-Mobile Arena · Prime Video
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
0-0 · away
Final score
113-124
Projected: 113-120
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
0-0 · home
30% win SAwin NY 70%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin6.6
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (18-7) host the San Antonio Spurs (18-7) on Tuesday, December 16 at 8:30 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 113 – Knicks 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 13-1 at home and the Spurs are 9-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Knicks and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Knicks W5, Spurs W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 120 – 113 Spurs, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.2 vs +1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +6.2 / SA +1.9 per game
+4.3
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+6.6

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Spurs win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

SANY
117.8
Points scored / game
119.3
115.7
Points allowed / game
112.1
46.0 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
34.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.3 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
28.2
Assists / game
26.8
9.8
Steals / game
7.2
6.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Spurs
Dylan HarperG · #221pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #512assists
Dylan HarperG · #27rebounds
Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #828pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #415rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

No meetings scheduled this season.

Team comparison

SANY
18-7Record18-7
117.8Points scored / game119.3
115.7Points allowed / game112.1
+1.9Adjusted margin / game+6.2
W3Current streakW5
7-3Last 10 games9-1
9-5 roadHome / road record13-1 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.