Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, November 4
At a glance
Real Madrid (5-3) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Wednesday, November 4 at 2:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 58% chance to win and projects a 85-87 score (Panathinaikos – Real Madrid), about 172 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 2-0 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Real Madrid and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Real Madrid W5, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Real Madrid 87 – 85 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Panathinaikos needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAORMB
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W
92-74RMB104-86W
113-99W
111-92W98-89W86-76Team comparison
| PAO | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 5-3 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 92.2 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 86.3 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W5 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.