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Paris vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, September 24

FinalTELEKOM CENTER ATHENS
32% win PBBwin PAO 68%
FavoritePAO
Projected margin5.4
Projected total176
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens host Paris Basketball on Thursday, September 24 at 2:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. Final score: Paris 72 – Panathinaikos 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 68% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Panathinaikos, but Paris has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Panathinaikos 91 – 85 Paris, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (90.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (85.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Panathinaikos
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PAO +1.4 / PBB -0.8 per game
+2.2
Home-court advantagePanathinaikos at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Panathinaikos
+5.4

Scenarios

Panathinaikos win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Paris win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PBBPAO
90.1
Points scored / game
86.7
90.9
Points allowed / game
85.0
-0.8
Adjusted margin / game
1.4

Early season: the numbers also lean on last season.

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PBB
No games played yet.
PAO
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PBBPAO
0-0Record0-0
90.1Points scored / game86.7
90.9Points allowed / game85.0
-0.8Adjusted margin / game+1.4
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
15-23 (-0.9)Last season25-19 (+1.7)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.