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Dubai vs Milan prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 15

FinalUNIPOL FORUM
51% win DUBwin MIL 49%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin0.4
Projected total171
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Armani Olimpia Milan (1-4) host Dubai Basketball (3-2) on Thursday, October 15 at 2:30 PM ET at UNIPOL FORUM in EuroLeague action. Final score: Dubai 101 – Milan 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Dubai Basketball a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Armani Olimpia Milan are 1-1 at home and Dubai Basketball are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for Armani Olimpia Milan and 3-2 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Milan L3, Dubai W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Milan 85 – 86 Dubai, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Milan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's defense allows clearly fewer points (84.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Milan
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -3.9 / DUB -0.4 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageMilan at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Milan
-0.4

Scenarios

Milan win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Dubai win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

DUBMIL
84.2
Points scored / game
84.3
84.6
Points allowed / game
88.9
-0.4
Adjusted margin / game
-3.9
60 %
Win %
20 %
2
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
0

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
DUB
WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul66-76WFC Barcelona94-87WReal Madrid78-77
MIL
LReal Madrid89-98LMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv79-97LKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz76-86WVirtus Bologna87-85LPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade76-92

Team comparison

DUBMIL
3-2Record1-4
84.2Points scored / game84.3
84.6Points allowed / game88.9
-0.4Adjusted margin / game-3.9
W1Current streakL3
3-2Last 10 games1-4
1-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
19-19 (+0.1)Last season17-21 (-1.2)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.