Dubai vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 13
At a glance
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-3) host Dubai Basketball (2-2) on Tuesday, October 13 at 2:30 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Dubai 93 – Baskonia 79. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Dubai Basketball a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 1-2 at home and Dubai Basketball are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and 2-2 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Baskonia L1, Dubai L2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Baskonia 87 – 88 Dubai, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Baskonia's offense (87.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Dubai's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
DUBKBA
Recent form
DUB
58-77L
66-76W
94-87W
78-77
KBA
84-92W
86-76L
88-111L
89-106Team comparison
| DUB | KBA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 83.4 | Points scored / game | 87.8 |
| 85.1 | Points allowed / game | 94.1 |
| -1.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-2 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 19-19 (+0.1) | Last season | 13-25 (-4.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.