Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Crvena Zvezda vs Dubai prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 8

FinalCOCA-COLA ARENA
41% win CZVwin DUB 59%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin2.6
Projected total170
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Dubai Basketball (2-1) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (1-2) on Thursday, October 8 at 12:00 PM ET at COCA-COLA ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Crvena Zvezda 77 – Dubai 58. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Dubai Basketball a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Dubai Basketball are 2-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for Dubai Basketball and 1-2 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Dubai L1, Crvena Zvezda W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Dubai, but Crvena Zvezda has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Dubai 86 – 84 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Crvena Zvezda needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Dubai
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DUB -0.1 / CZV +0.5 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageDubai at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Dubai
+2.6

Scenarios

Dubai win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Crvena Zvezda win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

CZVDUB
84.7
Points scored / game
85.7
84.1
Points allowed / game
85.8
0.5
Adjusted margin / game
-0.1
33 %
Win %
67 %
1
Home wins
2
0
Road wins
0

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
CZV
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul77-72LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv80-81LZalgiris Kaunas77-83
DUB
LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul66-76WFC Barcelona94-87WReal Madrid78-77

Team comparison

CZVDUB
1-2Record2-1
84.7Points scored / game85.7
84.1Points allowed / game85.8
+0.5Adjusted margin / game-0.1
W1Current streakL1
1-2Last 10 games2-1
0-0 roadHome / road record2-0 home
21-18 (+1.1)Last season19-19 (+0.1)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.