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Dubai vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, April 1

Thu, Apr 1 · 2:45 PM ETADIDAS ARENA
49% win DUBwin PBB 51%
FavoritePBB
Projected margin0.4
Projected total177
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Paris Basketball (3-6) host Dubai Basketball (5-3) on Thursday, April 1 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Paris Basketball a 51% chance to win and projects a 89-90 score (Dubai – Paris), about 177 total points. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-4 at home and Dubai Basketball are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for Paris Basketball and 5-3 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Paris W2, Dubai L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Paris 90 – 89 Dubai, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of Paris and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Dubai needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's defense allows clearly fewer points (86.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Paris
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PBB -2.4 / DUB +0.4 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageParis at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Paris
+0.4

Scenarios

Paris win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Dubai win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

DUBPBB
87.2
Points scored / game
89.1
86.7
Points allowed / game
92.0
0.4
Adjusted margin / game
-2.4
63 %
Win %
33 %
2
Home wins
1
3
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77
PBB
WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv99-94WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96

Team comparison

DUBPBB
5-3Record3-6
87.2Points scored / game89.1
86.7Points allowed / game92.0
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-2.4
L1Current streakW2
5-3Last 10 games3-6
3-1 roadHome / road record1-4 home
19-19 (+0.1)Last season15-23 (-0.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.