Hapoel TLV vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 11
At a glance
FC Bayern Munich (2-7) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Thursday, March 11 at 2:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 70% chance to win and projects a 90-84 score (Hapoel TLV – Bayern Munich), about 174 total points. This season, FC Bayern Munich are 0-4 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Bayern Munich L4, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Hapoel TLV, but Bayern Munich has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bayern Munich 84 – 90 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.2 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Hapoel TLV's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTABAY
Recent form
HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W
100-82L
82-93BAY
73-103L
84-88L
91-107L87-95W101-93Team comparison
| HTA | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 2-7 |
| 90.4 | Points scored / game | 83.3 |
| 85.8 | Points allowed / game | 89.4 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.2 |
| W4 | Current streak | L4 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 0-4 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | 17-21 (-2.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.