Crvena Zvezda vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, February 3
At a glance
FC Bayern Munich (2-7) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Wednesday, February 3 at 2:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 71% chance to win and projects a 88-82 score (Crvena Zvezda – Bayern Munich), about 170 total points. This season, FC Bayern Munich are 0-4 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Bayern Munich L4, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Crvena Zvezda, but Bayern Munich has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bayern Munich 82 – 88 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.2 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (86.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVBAY
Recent form
CZV103-73W
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82BAY73-103L
84-88L
91-107L
87-95W
101-93Team comparison
| CZV | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 2-7 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 83.3 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 89.4 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 0-4 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 17-21 (-2.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.