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Dubai vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 29

Fri, Jan 29 · 2:30 PM ETPALAU BLAUGRANA
36% win DUBwin BAR 64%
FavoriteBAR
Projected margin4.0
Projected total173
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

FC Barcelona (5-3) host Dubai Basketball (5-3) on Friday, January 29 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 64% chance to win and projects a 85-89 score (Dubai – FC Barcelona), about 173 total points. This season, FC Barcelona are 2-2 at home and Dubai Basketball are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for FC Barcelona and 5-3 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: FC Barcelona W2, Dubai L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

FC Barcelona is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects FC Barcelona 89 – 85 Dubai, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Dubai needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge FC Barcelona
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAR +1.2 / DUB +0.4 per game
+0.8
Home-court advantageFC Barcelona at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor FC Barcelona
+4.0

Scenarios

FC Barcelona win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
32%
Dubai win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

DUBBAR
87.2
Points scored / game
87.1
86.7
Points allowed / game
85.7
0.4
Adjusted margin / game
1.2
63 %
Win %
63 %
2
Home wins
2
3
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77
BAR
WFC Bayern Munich88-84WArmani Olimpia Milan89-81LOlympiacos Piraeus100-105WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv90-87LZalgiris Kaunas81-88

Team comparison

DUBBAR
5-3Record5-3
87.2Points scored / game87.1
86.7Points allowed / game85.7
+0.4Adjusted margin / game+1.2
L1Current streakW2
5-3Last 10 games5-3
3-1 roadHome / road record2-2 home
19-19 (+0.1)Last season22-18 (+0.8)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.