Baskonia vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 15
At a glance
Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) on Friday, January 15 at 12:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 78% chance to win and projects a 84-93 score (Baskonia – Besiktas), about 177 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (current streaks: Besiktas L2, Baskonia L5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 26% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Besiktas starts with a clear edge. The model projects Besiktas 93 – 84 Baskonia, a margin of about 8.7 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs -6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Besiktas' defense allows clearly fewer points (87.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
KBABJK
Recent form
KBA
86-104L
79-85L
78-86L
79-93L84-92BJK
73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W92-84Head-to-head
Team comparison
| KBA | BJK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 3-5 |
| 86.0 | Points scored / game | 86.2 |
| 93.6 | Points allowed / game | 87.3 |
| -6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| L5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-7 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 13-25 (-4.7) | Last season | – |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.