Panathinaikos vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
Virtus Bologna (4-4) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Tuesday, November 17 at 3:00 PM ET at PALADOZZA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 69% chance to win and projects a 87-81 score (Panathinaikos – Virtus Bologna), about 168 total points. This season, Virtus Bologna are 2-1 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Virtus Bologna and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Virtus Bologna L2, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Panathinaikos, but Virtus Bologna has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Virtus Bologna 81 – 87 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.0 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' offense (86.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOVIR
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W
92-74VIR
74-91L81-90W86-78W
96-94W
94-87Team comparison
| PAO | VIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 4-4 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 83.4 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 86.9 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 14-24 (-4.6) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.