Paris vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
FC Barcelona (5-3) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Tuesday, November 17 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 72% chance to win and projects a 85-92 score (Paris – FC Barcelona), about 177 total points. This season, FC Barcelona are 2-2 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for FC Barcelona and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: FC Barcelona W2, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
FC Barcelona starts with a clear edge. The model projects FC Barcelona 92 – 85 Paris, a margin of about 6.8 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- FC Barcelona's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PBBBAR
Recent form
PBB
99-94W
99-93L
93-104L
81-90L
94-96BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W90-87L
81-88Team comparison
| PBB | BAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 5-3 |
| 89.1 | Points scored / game | 87.1 |
| 92.0 | Points allowed / game | 85.7 |
| -2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-6 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 15-23 (-0.9) | Last season | 22-18 (+0.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.