Crvena Zvezda vs Milan prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 17
At a glance
Armani Olimpia Milan (1-7) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Tuesday, November 17 at 2:30 PM ET at UNIPOL FORUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 67% chance to win and projects a 88-83 score (Crvena Zvezda – Milan), about 170 total points. This season, Armani Olimpia Milan are 1-3 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Armani Olimpia Milan and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Milan L6, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Crvena Zvezda, but Milan has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Milan 83 – 88 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Milan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVMIL
Recent form
CZV
103-73W
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82MIL
75-80L
81-89L
97-101L
89-98L79-97Team comparison
| CZV | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 1-7 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 84.3 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 89.1 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L6 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 17-21 (-1.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.