FC Barcelona vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 13
At a glance
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Friday, November 13 at 2:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 76% chance to win and projects a 81-89 score (FC Barcelona – Panathinaikos), about 169 total points. This season, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 6-1 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Panathinaikos W2, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Panathinaikos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Panathinaikos 89 – 81 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BARPAO
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W
90-87L
81-88PAO80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W
92-74Team comparison
| BAR | PAO | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 7-1 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 86.6 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 79.5 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 7-1 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 6-1 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 25-19 (+1.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.