Bayern Munich vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 12
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host FC Bayern Munich (2-6) on Thursday, November 12 at 2:30 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 85% chance to win and projects a 83-95 score (Bayern Munich – Valencia), about 177 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 2-6 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: Valencia W2, Bayern Munich L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 20% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Valencia dominates this matchup. The model projects Valencia 95 – 83 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 12.1 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BAYVBC
Recent form
BAY
84-88L
91-107L
87-95W
101-93L
87-94VBC
86-78W
104-93L
88-91L
97-102W
93-82Team comparison
| BAY | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 6-2 |
| 83.9 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 88.5 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| -3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-6 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 17-21 (-2.9) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.